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Week Ahead 8 min read

Forex Week Ahead Analysis: 19th Feb | Technical Analysis

Jonathan Kibbler

18 Feb, 2024

Forex Week Ahead Analysis: 19th Feb

📈💼 Get ready for the Forex Week Ahead! Key economic data and events on the horizon, including CPI releases, FOMC meeting minutes, and PMI data. Stay informed, stay agile, and navigate the markets with confidence! #Forex #MarketInsights #TradingStrategies

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Forex Week Ahead Analysis

The spotlight is on the Canadian dollar as we await the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) month-on-month (m/m) data. Projections suggest a potential increase from -0.3% to 0.4%. This data release could provide valuable insights into Canada's inflationary trends, potentially influencing the monetary policy decisions of the Bank of Canada.

Market participants will be closely analyzing the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes for any indications regarding discussions about potential rate cuts in the second quarter. The outcome of these discussions could have significant implications for the US dollar and overall market sentiment.

Thursday will be a pivotal day with the release of Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data from key economies including Europe, the UK, and the US. These indicators offer crucial insights into the health of the manufacturing and services sectors, which are integral components of economic activity. Any surprises in the data could trigger volatility in the forex market.

USD Index

USD Index (DXY) daily chart displaying a recovery trend from December lows, with price action forming higher lows and testing resistance at the 104.50 level

The price on the chart has traded through multiple technical levels and some observations included:

  • The USD Index fell back below the key resistance of 104.50 despite breaking this level earlier in the week after stronger CPI data.
  • If price fails to trade back above this level, it could trade lower towards 104.00.
  • On the other hand a break higher could see price trade towards 106.00.

USD/JPY

USDJPY daily chart showing price action rebounding from the 140.50 support zone in early January 2024

The price on the chart has traded through multiple technical levels and some observations included:

  • USDJPY continued to trade higher last week trading through daily highs of 149.70.
  • This could see prices continue to trade higher towards the November highs of 151.80.

NZD/USD

NZDUSD daily chart illustrating a sideways consolidation between the 0.60500 support and 0.61500 resistance zones since late January 2024.

The price on the chart has traded through multiple technical levels and some observations included:

  • The daily chart shows price trading within a range between 0.6150 highs and 0.6050 lows.
  • Price is approaching range highs where we could either see a bearish rejection or a break depending on USD strength or weakness.

SILVER (XAG/USD)

Silver (XAGUSD) daily chart showing price rallying toward the 23.50 resistance zone after bouncing from the 22.00 support area.

The price on the chart has traded through multiple technical levels and some observations included:

  • The price of Silver rebounded from the $22.00 lows as expected.
  • Price is now looking to break highs of the $23.50 resistance.

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Week Ahead

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